* = Joint first author

Pre-prints
Forrest DL*, McManus LC*, Tekwa EW, Schindler DE, Colton MA, Webster MM, Fox HE, Essington TE, Palumbi SR, Mumby PJ, DeFilippo L, Schill SR, Pollock FJ & Pinsky ML (In review). Marine spatial planning to enhance coral adaptive potential. Journal of Applied Ecology. [link]


Vogt-Vincent NS, Rocha de Souza MS, Feloy K, Toonen RJ & McManus LC (In review). Growth rate and adaptive capacity, not just thermal tolerance, are critical for long-term coral persistence under climate change. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. [link]


Gibbs TL, Dahlin KJM, Brennan J, Silveira CB* & McManus LC* (In review). Coexistence of bacteria with a competition-colonization tradeoff on a dynamic coral host. Theoretical Ecology. [link]

2025
Rahnke SR, Winter KB, Tuttle Raz LJ & McManus LC (In press). Interaction strength and harvest intensity mediate predator-prey dynamics on coral reefs. Ecosphere.

Innes-Gold AA, Feloy K, Callan CK, Alegado RA, Ching C, Kawelo H, Kotubetey K, Lima B, Madin EMP, ME*E Lab, Rii YM, Winter KB & McManus LC (2025). Restoration and management of an Indigenous aquaculture system helps mitigate climate change impacts to estuarine fisheries. npj Ocean Sustainability 4(51). [link]

Ferretti P, Martignoni MM, McManus LC, Sakal T, Liaghat A, Stevens B, Dahlin KJM, Souza LS, Cardon ZG, Silveira CB, Bordenstein SR & Roughgarden J (2025) . Theory of host-microbe symbioses: Challenges and opportunities. Cell host & microbe 33(7): 1052-1056. [link]

Grottoli AG, Hulver AM, Vega Thurber R, Toonen RJ, Schmeltzer ER, Kuffner IB, Barott KL, Baums IB, Castillo KD, Chapron L, Coffroth MA, Combosch DJ, Correa AMS, Crandall ED, Donahue M, Eirin Lopez JM, Felis T, Ferrier-Pagès C, Harrison HB, Heron SF, Huang D, Humanes A, Kenkel CD, Krueger T, Madin J, Matz MV, McManus LC, Medina M, Muller EM, Padilla-Gamiño JL, Putnam HM, Sawall Y, Shlesinger T, Sweet MJ, Voolstra CR, Weis VM, Wild C & Wu HC. Future of coral bleaching research. BioScience 75(7): 585-598. [link]

Lee E and McManus LC. Rate of temperature increase and genetic diversity drives marine metapopulation persistence under climate change. The American Naturalist 206(4): 318-334. [link]

Vogt-Vincent, N. S., Pringle, J. M., Cornwall, C. E., and McManus, L. C. (2025). Anthropogenic climate change will likely outpace coral range expansion. Science Advances 11 (23), eadr2545. [link]

Ong TW*, McManus LC*, Vasconcelos VV*, Yang L and Su C (2025). Seeing halos: Spatial and consumer-resource constraints to landscape of fear patterns. The American Naturalist 205 (6), 590-603. [link]

Chen GK, McManus LC, Fan TY & Madin JS (2025). Relative contributions of size and shape to coral demography. The American Naturalist 205(6): 604-616. [link]

Innes-Gold AA*, Rahnke SA* & McManus LC. Land-sea interactions: Nutrient inputs, fishing effort, and predation shape estuarine fisheries harvest. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 323(30): 109377. [link]

Innes-Gold A, McManus LC, Lester E, Ong TW, Cook McNab A, Rahnke S, Brett Pablo J, Tokoyoda A, Watson D & Madin EMP (2025). Herbivory and temperature mediate coral reef halo dynamics. The American Naturalist. [link]

2024
Amaral PAK, Salvador RD & McManus LC (2024). Media Arts on a Marine Research Station: Reflections on a Storytelling Course in Support of Native Hawaiian Communities. Science Education and Civic Engagement 16(2): 45-51.

Innes-Gold AA, Carvalho P, McManus LC, Correa-Garcia S, Marcoux SD, Oleson KLL, Stokes K & Madin EMP (2024). Modeling the interactive effects of sea surface temperature, fishing effort, and spatial closures on reef fish populations. Theoretical Ecology 17(4): 289-300. [link]

Asbury M*, Innes-Gold AA*, Wulstein DM*, Madin EMP, Madin JS and McManus LC. Recovery potential of fish and coral populations following ecological disturbance. Ecosphere 15 (6), e4915. 10.1002/ecs2/4915. [link]

Tilman AR, Krueger EH, LC McManus and JR Watson. Maintaining human wellbeing as socio-environmental systems undergo regime shifts. (2024). Ecological Economics 221, 108194. 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2024108194 [link]

Innes-Gold AA, Madin EMP, Stokes K, Ching C, Kawelo H, Kotubetey K, Reppun F, Rii Y, Winter KB and McManus LC. (2024). Restoration of an Indigenous aquaculture system can increase reef fish density and fisheries harvest in Hawai‘i. Ecosphere 15(3), e4797. 10.1002/ecs2.4797 [link]

McClanahan TR, Fox HE, Grantham HS, Jupiter SD, Mcleod E, McManus LC, Oddenyo RM, Suyra GS, Wenger AS, Zinke J. (2023). Diversification of refugia types needed to secure the future of coral reefs to climate change. Conservation Biology 38 (1), e14108. 10.111/cobi.14108 [link]

2022
Colton MA, McManus LC, Schindler DE, Mumby PJ, Palumbi SR, Webster MM, Essington TE, Fox HW, Forrest DL, Schill SR, Pollock FJ, DeFilippo LB, Tekwa EW, Walsworth TE and Pinsky ML. (2022). Conservation in a warming world must harness evolution. Nature Ecology and Evolution 6: 1405-1407. 10.1038/s41559-022-01854-4 [link]


DeFilippo LB*, McManus LC*, Pinsky ML, Colton MA, Webster MS, Essington TE, Palumbi SR, Mumby PJ and Schindler DE. (2022). Assessing the potential for demographic restoration and assisted evolution to build climate resilience in coral reefs. Ecological Applications. 10.1002/eap.2650 [link]

van Woesik R, Shlesinger T, Grottoli AG, Toonen RJ, Vega Thurber R, Warner M, Hulver AM, Chapron, L, McLachlan RH, Albright R, Crandall E, DeCarlo TM, Donovan MK, Eirin-Lopez J, Harrison HB, Heron SF, Huang D, Humanes A, Krueger T, Madin JS, Manzello D, McManus LC, Matz M, Muller EM, Rodriguez-Lanetty M, Vega-Rodriguez M, Voolstra CR and Zaneveld J. (2022) Coral-bleaching responses to climate change across biological scales. Global Change Biology 28: 4229-4250. 10.1111/gcb.16192 [link]

2021

McManus LC*, Forrest DL*, Tekwa E, Schindler DE, Walsworth TE, Colton MA, Webster MS, Essington TE, Palumbi SR, Mumby PJ, and Pinsky ML. (2021). Evolution and connectivity influence the persistence and recovery of coral reefs under climate change in the Caribbean, Southwest Pacific, and Coral Triangle. Global Change Biology 00:1-15. 10.1111/gcb.15725 [link]

McManus LC, Tekwa E, Schindler DE, Walsworth TE, Colton MA, Webster MS, Essington TE, Palumbi SR, Mumby PJ, Forrest DL, and Pinsky ML. (2021). Evolution reverses the effect of network structure on metapopulation persistence. Ecology 102(7), e03381. 10.1002/ecy.3381 [link]

Tekwa EW, McManus LC, Greiner A, Colton MA, Webster MS, and Pinsky ML. (2021). Geometric Analysis of Regime Shifts in Coral Reef Communities. Ecosphere 12(1):e03319. 10.1002/ecs2.3319 [link]

2020
McManus LC, Vasconcelos VV, Levin SA, Thompson DM, Kleypas JA, Castruccio FS, Curchitser EN, Watson JR. (2020). Extreme temperature events will drive coral decline in the Coral Triangle. Global Change Biology 26:2120-2133. 10.1111/gcb.14972 [link]

2019
McManus LC, Watson JR, Vasconcelos VV and Levin SA. (2019). The stability and recovery of coralalgae systems: the importance of recruitment seasonality and grazing influence. Theoretical Ecology 12:61-72. 10.1007/s12080-018-0388-x [link]

2014
McManus LC, Yurek S, Teare PB, Dolan TE and Serafy JE. (2014). Killifish habitat suitability as a measure of coastal restoration performance: integrating field data, behavioral trials and simulation. Ecological Indicators 44:173-181. [link]